Le Pen fate worse in the French election debate freeforall

French presidential debate: # 39; Tonight, everything could change # 39;

The markets are looking beyond, pollsters bookmakers to steer French election.
By Jemima KellyLONDON Reuters With the presidential election in France a banana skin waiting for the market potential, forecast or sites that rely on surveys of voters or real money paris become a tool of choice for financial and makers looking for an edge After years of anxiety about the accuracy of opinion polls, investors have increasingly come to rely on the political paris ratings as a barometer more uniform results elections that affect billions of dollars of securities, but in 2016 changed everything, as the bookies and pollsters misfired on the referendum of Britain leaving the European Union and Donald Trump US presidential election victory but they part in them -Same redeemed at the Dutch election last month Some look at France could issue a similar shock month following a meadow idence for the extreme right, anti-EU Marine Le Pen although the question has always led the May runoff losing about 20 percentage points, and US prediction markets bookmakers set the odds of winning the Pen of about 1 to 4 comparable to trading on a Trump victory on the eve of the US elections Thus, as opinion polls show consistently a third or more of french voters could still change their minds, how markets navigate these troubled waters iT S HOWYOUTHINK offering a different perspective are Hypermind, a company that allows bettors to wager on the outcome of geopolitical events using play money, and other forecasters crowd-US as -Based judgment Hypermind Inc., which selects amateur for his panel through a test, said about eight to ten of its nearly 2,500 forecasters on the French election come Fran that his system gives those who always correctly predict the results of a voice increasingly strong, while finally drop those that do not and it puts the odds of a victory Pen about 1 in 8 This makes a good forecaster is no previous expertise in the field; it is not what you know that you try to predict, said co-founder Emile Servan-Schreiber Hypermind, who has a background in cognitive psychology is the way you think He declined to identify any of its customers, but said they included hedge funds, banks and government agencies that can be up to record the track Hypermind his research shows that in the two months before the event, he attributed the best chance of Brexit and Trump eight-based statistics and forecasters based crowd, including market US forecast PredictIt British paris site Betfair and website fivethirtyeight in the search after the victory of Trump, the Washington post put Hypermind and good judgment Open Inc judgment project based on the same principle as the most accurate forecasters Hypermind arose from research funded by the government agency activity Intell igence Advanced Research Projects IARPA, a US set up in 2006 to develop new methods of work of the secret services in the post-September 11 era Between 2011 and 2015, IARPA held a competition to predict the results of about 500 geopolitical events the winning group was good judgment GJP project, which used a methodology similar to Hypermind to produce forecasts collective wisdom of the crowd Hypermind was one of two commercial -offs rotation by GJP participants the other is good judgment Inc. French Connection United Kingdom once chosen, forecasters Hypermind receive 100,000 play money to bet with units they predict more accurately, the more they accumulate, but if they lose, they fall to the panel, which happens about 1 to 10 Hypermind is UK-registered, but was set up by two french His site is in french and English, which helped atti rer many forecasters in France Hypermind does not ask the nationality of the candidates of the panel, but since most of them are based in France, Servan-Schreiber believes forecasts Hypermind is more representative of French voting more you are removed French territory, t he more you see Le Pen as a strong possibility, he said British bookmaker Ladbrokes said some of the people who bet on Trump and Brexit and have reaped the rewards are trying their luck again with Le Pen despite the sharp advance enjoyed by the centrist candidate Emmanuel Macron This bias chances of bookmakers in his favor there is also a lack of understanding of how the voting system in two rounds of France is working, and reluctance to bookies let outside pocket Wednesday Ladbrokes odds online victory Pen were 3-1, reflecting about 25 percent chance of chanc es Pen overestimate their chances of winning, said the head of the company policy paris, Matthew Shaddick If the people who were actually voting and really understood the system were allowed to participate in these markets paris, I suspects that his chances wouldn t be quite as favorable in France, the bet is limited to sports and horse racing as he could have done better than others and Brexit or Trump Hypermind a ss of shit 50 percent chance of each outcome But Servan-Schreiber, assign 1-3 odds on an event that occurs is no mistaking it reflects rather than one in three times, he materializes by Jemima Kelly reports; editing by John Stonestreet.
The markets are looking beyond, pollsters bookmakers to steer French election.
With the presidential election of France pending a skin potential banana to markets, forecast or sites that rely on surveys of voters or real money paris become a tool of choice for financial and policy makers looking for an edge After years of concern about the accuracy of opinion polls, investors have increasingly come to rely on the ratings of paris as political barometer more uniform election results that affect billions of dollars of securities, but in 2016 changed everything, as the bookies and pollsters misfired on the referendum in Britain to leave the European Union and the victory of the US presidential election of Donald Trump - but they partly redeemed themselves in the Dutch election last month Some look at France could issue a similar shock month following a presiden this to the extreme right, anti-EU Marine Le Pen although the question has always led the May runoff losing about 20 percentage points, and US prediction markets bookmakers set the odds of winning the Pen around 1 to 4 c omparable to trading on a Trump victory on the eve of the US elections Thus, as opinion polls consistently show a third or more of french voters could still change their minds, how markets navigate these waters S HOW iT disorders YOU THINK Offering a different perspective are Hypermind, a company that allows bettors to wager on the outcome of geopolitical events using play money, and other forecasters crowd-US as -Based judgment Inc. Hypermind which selects amateur for his panel through a test, said about eight out of 10 its nearly 2,500 forecasters on the French election come Fran that his system gives those who always correctly predict the results of a voice increasingly strong, while finally drop those that do not - and puts it at about 1 in 8 chance of victory Pen what makes a good forecaster is no previous expertise in the field; it is not what you know that you try to predict, said co-founder Emile Servan-Schreiber Hypermind, who has a background in cognitive psychology is the way you think He declined to identify any of its customers, but said they included hedge funds, banks and government agencies that can be up to record the track Hypermind his research shows that in the two months before the event, he attributed the best chance of Brexit and Trump eight-based statistics and forecasters based crowd, including American market forecast PredictIt British paris site Betfair and website fivethirtyeight in the search after the victory of Trump, the Washington post put Hypermind and open judgment - Inc. a trial project based on the same principle - that the most accurate forecasters Hypermind were born from research funded by the government agency activity Intelligence Advanced Research Projects IARPA, a US set up in 2006 to develop new methods of work of the secret services in the post-September 11 era Between 2011 and 2015, IARPA held a competition to predict the results of about 500 geopolitical events the winning group was good judgment GJP project, which used a methodology similar to Hypermind to produce the collective wisdom of the crowd Hypermind forecast was one of two commercial spin-offs by GJP participants the other is good judgment Inc. FRENCH CONNECTION once chosen, forecasters Hypermind receive 100,000 play money to bet with units they predict more accurately, the more they accumulate, but if they lose, they fall to the panel, which happens about 1 to 10 Hypermind is UK-registered, but was set up by two French His site is in French and English, which has helped attract Numb Forecasters Hypermind them in France does not ask the nationality of the candidates of the panel, but since most of them are based in France, says Servan-Schreiber forecast Hypermind is more representative of French voting more you are removed from French terri ry, the more you see Le Pen as a strong possibility, he said British bookmaker Ladbrokes said some of the people who bet on Trump and Brexit - and reaped the rewards - try their luck again with Le Pen, despite strong advance enjoyed by the centrist candidate Emmanuel Macron is skew odds bookmakers in favor There is also a lack of understanding of how the voting system in two rounds of France is working, and the reluctance of bookies to let off pocket Wednesday Ladbrokes online odds of winning the Pen were 3-1, reflecting about 25 percent chance likely Pen surestimen t his chances of winning, said the head of the political gamble, Matthew Shaddick enterprise If people were actually voting and really understood the system were allowed to participate in these markets paris, I suspect that his likely wouldn t be quite as favorable in France, the bet is limited to sports and horse racing as he could have done better than others and Brexit or Trump da Hypermin a less than 50 percent probability of each outcome But Servan-Schreiber, assign 1-3 odds on an event that occurs is not wrong, it reflects rather than one in three times, he will materialize This article has been edited by editorial team of DNA and is automatically generated from a supply agency.
target Macron Le Pen on the economy in the French presidential debate.

Paris French presidential front-runner Emmanuel Macron attacked leading far-right Marine Le Pen on his economic policies and plans to cut the euro on Tuesday in an unprecedented debate among 11 candidates before the election of this month's Discussion was sometimes chaotic and dominated by small anti-capitalist and virulently anti-EU candidates who made their first major appearance before the first round of voting two stage April 23 the most revealing clash between the runners-before came to end of the first section when aged 39 Macron took what is considered one of the vulnerabilities of the Pen plans to scrap the euro and return to the franc what you offer, Ms. Le Pen, is reduced of French purchasing power because, by removing the euro, for savers, workers, the reduction in purchasing power, he said the polls, only a third of voters en lish support the case of the euro, many of them concerned about the impact of a devaluation which wo uld hit their economies and boost inflation Shock and more combative performance Macron could point to the tone and the shape of the coming season, with Macron and Le Pen have emerged as the clear front-runners Macron accused of wanting to start an economic war with neighboring France and denounced its nationalist position, which he said had tore the continent apart in the past and cemeteries filled near his home town of Amiens in northern France with only 19 days before the first round of voting in a competition rollercoaster, the debate could influence the momentum of the countryside, with about a third of voters still unsure of how they will vote polls show the far-right candidate Le Pen and centrist independent Macron in a dead heat for about 25 percent of head in the first round on April 23 Macron is seen easily win the second round on May 7 Pen has steady performance under fire, warning about the closure of factories and the danger of Islamists and immigrants eroding Franc es national identity, I consider this election our civilization is at stake, she said at the beginning of the debate, promising to restore order and the fight against globalization unfettered Asked about the legal issues surrounding his national Front party, including campaign financing and the use of spending the European Parliament, she said she considered herself persecuted Benoit Hamon Socialist candidate political mocked his defense, saying that it was fun to see you play the victim while spending your time attacking immigrants for the second time, Hamon found himself overshadowed by his rival rise far left Jean-Luc Mélenchon , Who put in another assured performance, according to a survey published by BFM television after the debate a candidate who needed to shine was conservative Francois Fillon, whose campaign was nearly derailed by criminal charges over claims he paid its hundreds of women thousand for false parliamentary work He concluded by saying that I f voters do not want chaos proposed by Le Pen or continuity represented by Macron, then they should vote for him Unlike the first debate Tuesday's featured all applicants in advance for the first time in French history they included smoothie autoworker Philippe Poutou, who presented widely on social media after taking on the Pen and Fillon on their legal problems in With unusually blunt language Fillon more you look more corruption and cheating you, he said communist firebrand e Nathalie Arthaud promised to protect French workers to be strangled by the capitalist system, while the anti-European nationalists such as Francois Asselineau, Nicolas DuPont-Aignan and Jacques Cheminade appreciated the time it was the unusual antenna first time that all candidates discussed before the first round of a presidential election in France with many observers skeptical about whether the format would inform voters Writing in the World before the debate, Michel Noblecourt, noted that pre president Francois Hollande who decided in December not to seek reelection warned that dangerous innovation in French politics risked a background in racing the final outcome of an election that is closely monitored in the world is still considered as very unpredictable and outright dissatisfaction hostility toward traditional politics is strong in France and Surveys show about one-third of voters plan to abstain.
Le Pen fate worse in the French electoral debate without for all.
The presidential debate that ended Wednesday 40am to 12 can not change the results of the first round of the election on April 23, but it broke records for the first and only time, 11 candidates have debated over four hours, each speaking on average 17 minutes the free-for-all offered six minor candidates, including credit polls between 0 5 and 4 percent of the vote, a chance to avenge They had nothing to lose, and did the five major candidates squirm it felt like a sometimes funny, quarrelsome French dinner Marine Le Pen, leader of the far-right National Front FN and the centrist Emmanuel Macron are tied for first place with 25 percent, although polls indicate would defeat Macron Pen by a wide margin of 7 May runoff former Conservative Prime Minister Francois Fillon, who was paralyzed by a series of corruption scandals, is in third place at 17 5 percent of the candidate extrem e left Jean-Luc Mlenchon at 15 percent and rising, hopes to exceed F Illon The main candidates often seemed to wonder what they were doing on the same stage television with what could charitably call the lunatic fringe France is without probably the only Western country where three Trotskyists could appear on the ballot of presidential voting They used the vocabulary of another era, terms such as the general strike, the turpitude of Finance and a lot of money workers Trotskyists Philippe poutou, the leader of the New anti-Capitalist Party, presented himself as a Ford factory worker in Bordeaux he and Nathalie Arthaud, head of the workers' struggle, were the only candidates to hold real jobs, poutou said port a shirt and talking quickly and angrily, Poutou denounced the ultra-rich, the rich indecent manner, this capitalist system Macron, former Minister e Economy and former director of Rothschild Bank seems likely to be the next president Frances, looked with alarm on, and Fillon attacked Poutou Pen, not Macron A series of sc are sandals involving Fillons hiring of family members and tailored suits gifts were a party Poutou said, accusing Fillon Fillon to tap into the fund threatened to sue in court Poutou worker turned his tongue against Le Pen, who, he said, seemed to think being anti-European is all right to steal EU money, he attacked to hide behind his MEP immunity by refusing to answer a police summons regarding the use of EU funds pay workers party in what has been labeled scud the evening poutou we added when we are summoned by the police, we do not have immunity workers, so we'll have the lic applauded as they were colorful, small candidates raised important issues poutous denunciation of the state of emergency and request that unarmed police force was the only reference to the authoritarian tendencies in French society since the jihadist attacks Arthaud started in 2015 noted that the richest French fortunes individuals hold in the range of 20 to 30000000000, and e dare fortunes rose 18 percent in one year M. Fillon critical railway privileges while he lets lets say largesse Its shocking, said Arthaud, a teacher When you are a worker or unemployed, you need to consider for yourself every day the inspectors come if a cashier in a store keeps a coupon, she Francois Asselineau fired, retired civil servant, rebuked the Pen want to waste time in negotiations and a referendum on the euro exit e Does the EU it would invoke Article 50 of the Treaty of Lisbon immediately Asselineau promised, for the fastest possible Frexit France gives 23 billion to the EU every year, but only receives 14 billion in return he added the Pen lost most in the Asselineau debate gave him a gentle on Europe, while the Trotskyists stole his mantle as defender of the people Devastating Macron outperformed Fillon and Pen, but notes that it is still Asselineaus agree with the whole world was devastating Macron pretended wear Eu rope in his heart, and was the only one to defend the other European EUS opposed the directive on posted workers, which allows employees to work in another country while paying social security contributions at home Macron noted that the Directive allows 300,000 French working elsewhere in the Union and attacked the defense Pen nationalist protectionism, saying that nationalism means war, candidates were divided between those who want to reduce labor costs, namely Fillon and to a lesser Macron measure, and others who want to increase wages They were also divided on cutting back the Youre civil service will ruin the country, Fillon warned Hamon Mlenchon clashed with the Pen on its intention to include the protection of Frances historical and cultural heritage in the constitution it boiled down to allow Christmas troughs in the town halls sixty percent of French have no religion leave religion out Mlenchon pleaded debate should cause the soul sear ching of how the presidential candidates of France veterinary currently, anyone who collects sills 500 countrys 36,000 mayors can run in the country's highest office's public television channel France 2 Wednesday abandoned plans for a second debate involving all the 11 candidates he was held three days before the first round.
Macron sees France close election ahead after TV debate.

French centrist advance Emmanuel Macron for president of France fell after a televised debate but it is still on track to win a Elabe poll for BFM TV showed Wednesday in one of the first surveys of intentions voting from Tuesday's debate between all 11 candidates, Macron was seen winning 23 May of the vote in April 23 first round, the lowest score in a month and down 25 5 is the last time the survey was conducted March 28-29 Navy far-right leader Le Pen has also been seen at 23 5 to first turn down 24 after the debate four hours Macron, a former minister of popular economy that has created its own party from scratch for the election, was expected to win runoff May 7 from 62 to 38, for the conservative Pen Francois Fillon, whose country had fought as he fought nepotism allegations, has regained some momentum but notenough to make the runoff Its score rose to 19 in the first round of 18 last week hard left candidate Jean-Luc Mélenchon, who performed well in the two televised debates to date, displaying a keen mind, other conquered his first round score reached 17 after 15 last week c Copyright 2017 Thomson Reuters.
French presidential hopes Macron Clinton Trump Or is it a Le Pen Obama.
April 5 2017Amiens, FranceFrederic Chanterelle clearly feels like a loser of globalization A dull day this week outside the Whirlpool offices here, the union leader seething about the companys decision to close Michigan plant the device and relocate in Poland means of increasing globalization for stronger and less for the weak, he said, that the employees who will lose their jobs by next year file from their shift in the morning, we always tighten our belts They did not belt welcome to the rust belt of France, where blue-collar workers, like their American counterparts in Michigan or Pennsylvania and Ohio, are ripe for economic patriotism Marine Le Pen, anti-EU, anti-immigrant candidate before the French presidential elections Even in France, Western elections are seen through the prism e race in America in 2016 between Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton and whether Ms. Le Pen, backed by despair and frustration of those who remained behind, is the M r Trump of the French election, the role of the globalist Clinton falls to his main rival, Emmanuel Macron, a native of this former industrial town Indeed, in the second presidential debate was held last night, he stood out among his opponents by declaring at the outset that the European project is in his heart following this logic, Mr Macron will easily lose the French rust belt, as Hillary Clinton did in the United States but unlike Clinton, he positions himself as a change agent who, his supporters say, takes the best of the right and left to drive across France They say the best American comparison is Yes, we can post that resonated during President Barack Obama 2008 campaign, but can Macron young, never elected to office before, winning a las France with a message of hope Macron supply Macron was born in Amiens, but moved to Paris and joined the elite education circuit, it would made a small fortune working for the Socialist front Rothschild Bank Pr esident Franois Hollande poached him to become minister of the economy, but in the office, Macron is often described as an Anglo-Saxon mind, focusing on 'entrepreneurship has angered the left branch of the party with a reformist agenda, including the prohibition loosening the store Sunday hours and criticizing Frances infamous work week of 35 hours as a candidate today Macron is touting it as post-ideological, with a platform that pulls the left and right, he wants more welfare for the worst off, but he also wants to reduce public spending and keep the deficit Frances budget of less than 3 percent, as mandated by the European Union, he wants to make it easier to start a business and says he can push the unemployment 10 percent, where it hovered throughout the term of President Hollande, up 7 percent, but this plant, whose closure is scheduled for June 2018, the message is difficult to hear Cecilia Deliprou, a representative of the engineer and the mechanics union for the labor of work white collar t Whirlpool, is angry against injustice dislocation is just profit maximization, it says it will be hard the average seniority in the plant is up to 25 years this means that we have spent in this plant more than half of our professional life this means that we have given Whirlpool best half of our lives Pen is polling its highest work in old industrial areas like these CEVIPOF An Ipsos poll for France 3 me s last showed 35 percent in this region, Hauts-de-France, will vote for Le Pen in the first round of the election on April 23, compared to 27 percent nationally Macron pulls in 24 percent in the region and just under 26 percent nationally Ms. Deliprou say custom that her vote but she doesnt believe in a simplistic message and said no candidate has a plausible before Trump as promises that if you want think, OK, it's your choice to believe, but this is not realistic in the center of Amiens in March are volunteers outside a department st handing leaflets mineralized Olivier Williame, a teacher who volunteers for the campaign, said a macron message is more complicated than Le Pen but he is trying to communicate that blue-collar workers would be worse if Le Pen had managed to take EU France and the euro zone, however, he said macron platform puts the emphasis on recycling of industrial workers Macron think globalization with a realistic vision, M. Williame said he said that we should try to support employees losing jobs, rather than trying to absolutely save these jobs when factories closing movement Macron has faced much criticism for being out of touch with the rust belt, as Clinton's was Lex Paulson, professor at Sciences who is a former organizer of the Obama campaign and now volunteers with macron Walk in motion, disagrees he says he sees the movement Macron more in common with that of Obama, including drawing a large number of volunteers who never lies hired Hillary Clinton political will to Ohio, and there is absolutely no way it positions itself as a candidate of change, he said Emmanuel Macron creates a change and a major disruption in the system th policy, the way Hillary Clinton was the opposite things are moving Amiens, famous for its Gothic cathedral, is a history for today, but deindustrialization is also an ongoing transformation of history, said Laurence Rataux , who heads the local development office for the city of Amiens, only 13 percent of jobs in the city are industrial; the others are in the public or the Amazon service jobs opens a new distribution center here As she says Whirlpool closing was a shock, particularly for the workers directly affected, it is only STEPS side are moving, she said the mayor of Amiens, Brigitte Foure, worried that the Whirlpool workers will flock to the Pen or abstain massively I think the workers are disappointed and beaten down because they say we worked hard and they are closing our factory and only for the finances, she said they take refuge in the domestic front and yet it doubt Macron is the man to make inroads, albeit where it launched in March a year ago this week after leaving the Socialist government, he launched his campaign, but also advertising to show it is not just a banker in Paris, but the french heart, the mayor said his com Foure point mentary to one of the challenges standing macron So it is in a dead heat with the Pen and polls ahead it al in a second round between the two hypothetical, May 7, he has a much softer support it she does, said David Webber, a professor at INSEAD outside Paris that makes policy research and comparative integration Macron the phenomenon got wind of the collapse of the two parties form the traditional political establishment or which is polling to make the runoff While Macron attracts voters from left and right, beyond party lines, this platform can also make it seem unconvincing and thin on substance, particularly without camera If it is left behind any event of black swan, just huge financial scandal surrounding Macron, for example, things may look very differently April 23, M. Webber said Mayor Foure says she is nt change underfoot in the midst of an unpredictable election that could set off France in very different directions I feel like I'm at a crossroads of civilizations and political life, she said that there are those who fear globalization and e are a fragile those who say it is here world, we must face and go and its role at the local level, we must maintain our openness without being naive, and I'm really convinced that we must talk to each other , meet others is not closing and putting walls, with Mexico and France and other European countries this is not life, she said if we can live together in a city the size of Amiens, this will result in the polls Webber said the outcome of the US presidential election with Brexit and the rise of populism in Europe could shape the mood for Macron I think the result Brexit UK and of the' Election Trump in the US are having more of an integration effect on the rest of the EU as a disintegrative, he said.
Moderate Emmanuel Macron kept his favorite position to win the presidential election in France after a televised debate Tuesday night where he sharply clashed with his rival, Marine Le Pen, Europe, only 19 days before the election Macron was considered to have the best policy program, according to a pressure survey which also placed him as the second most compelling player in a marathon four hours that involved all 11 candidates Pen were left in fourth place behind Macron and Francois Fillon Macron has been seen in the same survey as having the best program of all candidates 23 percent of viewers, followed by Mélenchon, whose ratings have been on the rise since the first televised debate in March, at the expense of the candidate Socialist Party Benoit Hamon While Elabe survey does not show the vote, other surveys have consistently shown Mac ron and Pen qualify for the May 7 and Macron run win.
Macron sees France after narrow election TV debate ahead of poll.
ParisFrench centrist Emmanuel Macron ahead of the presidential election in France has decreased following a televised debate but it is still on track to win a Elabe poll for BFM TV showed Wednesday in one of the first surveys of intentions vote since Tuesday's debate between all 11 candidates, Macron has seen him win May 23 percent of the vote in April 23 first round, the lowest score in a month and down from 25 percent five the last time the poll was conducted March 28-29 GRAPHIC - French presidential elections Far right leader Marine Le Pen has also been seen at 23 5 percent in the first round, down 24 percent after the debate four hours Macron, a former minister of popular economy that has created his own party from scratch for the election, was expected to win the runoff on May 7 with 62 percent to 38 percent for the conservative Francois Fillon Pen, whose cam loincloth had fought as he fought nepotism allegations, has regained some momentum but not enough to make the runoff His sc ore rose 19 percent in the first round by 18 percent last week left candidate Jean-hard Luc Mélenchon, who performed well in the two televised debates to date, displaying a keen mind, made new gains his first round score reached 17 percent after 15 percent of reports last week by Leigh Thomas.

Power Patriot How alt-right France seeks to influence the election.
Image copyrightAFPImage captionThe characteristic most distinctive alt-law of France is his youth in France, despite its reputation as a beacon of progressive liberalism, was at the forefront of a pan-European far-right movement booming Marine Le Pen, anti-immigration Euroscepticism could well lead the first round of France's presidential election on April 23, riding a populist insurgency that has grown over the past 15 years, its themes familiar in the days of Donald Trump and Brexit concern for people who work hard, support traditional values ​​and opposition to immigration and supranational intriguing But the most distinctive feature of the patriotic surge in France's youth Unlike their contemporaries in the United States and the United Kingdom, under 30 in France are more nationalistic than the population genera the, the radical end of the movement are the identity or identities - the equivalent of the American alt-right who are the bearers of their standards of identity are Identitaire GI generation, a group that specializes in publicity stunts filming and messages online to announce his fight to regain the french territory said they lost to foreign migrant picture copyrightAFPImage captionIn 2012 GI occupied a mosque in Poitiers, a city historically linked to resistance to IM Muslims has 120,000 fans on Facebook - almost twice as youth wings of the Socialist Party and the Republicans combined center-right skinheads Unlike older, the group sticks to nonviolence iPhone, he found, is more powerful than the shoe France vote on image BBC copyrightGetty ImagesImage captionThe five main candidates are LR Francois Fillon, Benoit Hamon, Marine Le Pen, Emmanuel Macron and Jean-Luc Mélench Following is a group of activists distributed leaflets in Paris, however, it is clear that they enjoy their verbal confrontation Larti leader Pierre, 26, is surrounded by a group of men from North Africa When I read this leaflet I understand that there ou don t want me here, we say what we want to do is replace our values ​​by Islamists, says Mr. Larti France is historically a Christian country, I am not criticizing anyone what happening in your country is your business what happens here is we opposed to colonization, which is why we do not want the same thing happens in reverse image caption this is our country, the French identity insist Oddly, perhaps, for a passionately devoted group of national differences, GI is budding branches across European identity But seeing the continent as a battlefield be European and Islamic culture Jean-Yves Le Gallou, former MEP, speaks of a struggle for civilizational identity you are Dutch, German or French, he said, you have the same problem and the same vision of Mr Gallou the world, 69, has produced a video entitled to the European Europe is not a globalized space without borders, Europe is not African or Muslim territory that has been seen over 2m 3 times YouTube in less than two years - three times more than being French, a sister video touting his native website Mr Le Gallou, Polemia, stands at the end of the top face of France's identity in the spectrum 1970, he was a prominent member of the new right, an influential group of extreme right-wing thinkers His continuing influence reflects the deep intellectual roots of identity movement it also highlights the power of new media Without the Internet, Mr. Gallo u and others would have no mass audience Their warnings against the big replacement of the local population by immigrants are forbidden areas for traditional journalists the message online Shut by traditional media, identity thrived on the web at the past decade one of the stars online is Fdesouche, a news aggregator with links to articles and mainstream sites extracts selected chronic chaos in migrant suburbs Fdesouche offers no comments, but leaves readers to draw their own Islamist conclusions and rabble rabble - code for criminals with dark skin are threatening to take the country, a development at a time Fdesouche gets about 3m views per month, eclipsing the sites of traditional politicians Emmanuel Macron, a centrist with dedicated following hipsters, manages less than 1m Fdesouche success has spawned a swarm of imitators and rivals is France's far right line a threat to democracy often called collectively the fachosphre fascist, sites denouncing mass immigration and Islam have grown dramatically in France over the last 10 years and cyber patriots of France are very diverse More investigation of Henri Astier a fault line divides identity new model, which consider Muslims as the main threat to traditionalists who believe that the chief evil force in the world Zionism the most important anti-Zionist is Alain Soral His site, Galit and reconciliation E amp; R, nationalist and leftist themes weaving in calling for solidarity with the people of poor countries Soral rejects accusations of antisemitism, he sees a clear distinction between ordinary Jews and what he calls the organized Jewish lobby, he it is said persecutes sympathize with native French, but identity-esteem focus on the wrong target by encouraging poor whites to turn against blacks and Muslims that they were doing the work of the Zionists, he said to the image BBC copyrightAFPImage captionAlain Soral has been sued dozens of times for inciting Alain Soral regularly prosecuted for incitement but no player of E amp bit; R has more readers than Fdesouche, and through measures is the most popular political site in France various parts of the alt-straight line can be drawn from different directions, but their target is the same political and media establishment such resentment is not the prerogative of identity fringe, or people languishing in neglected provinces Oppo sition liberal elites and concerns about the disappearance of borders are widespread and increasingly aired in the heart of paris at Sciences Po, an institution that trains the next generation of government leaders and business Eurosceptics students have set up a club, Critique of European CRE reason to fight the battle where it matters Its leader, Nicolas Pouvreau, said the group has managed to create a safe space Euroscepticism in an environment that remains hostile Brexit I celebrated the vote by eating fish and s fries all day Sarah Knafo, Sciences Po student BBC another member, Sarah Knafo, said the growing popularity of Marine Le Pen of the National Front FN - most of France - won the group a mean respect on campus we represent something more than us, and we dare not despise as much as they used to vote last year Brexit UK members CRE delighted the next morning, they gathered outside the embassy of the Kingdom -um to drink champagne and sing God Save the Queen Ant i-white racism beyond hostility to the EU, the CRE members consider the uncontrolled migration and trade flows as a source of social disintegration It would be wrong to label Critique of European extreme right reason the group brings together activists from one nation to both the left and the right have more in common with each other than the moderates in their camps respective media playback is not supported on your media device captionStudent Paul Zurkinden gives his views on Euroscepticism Kevin Vercin, another student of the CRE which supports the presidential candidate of the hard left Jean -Luke Mlenchon is hostile to multiculturalism as the conservatives in the group who lived in an immigrant suburb suburbs, he says he has often been called dirty white, and said the mainstream press denies the reality of anti-white racism, I used to go to school with fear in my stomach start to feel bad about being white, being French and loving your origins because you beat Ugo Ian Nuzzi, FN supporter BBC outdated as they are these feelings are very common among those who have left the suburbs I have suffered to be white, Ugo said Iannuzzi, a student at the Sorbonne, I often cried, I used to go to the school with little r in the womb you start to feel bad to be white, to be French and to love your background because you're beaten, your phone is stolen and glasses smashed M. Iannuzzi supports FN But his resentment of elites political and media reflects that leftists like Mr. Alexandre Devecchio Vercin lost generation, journalist and author of a book on the various tribes of young french rebels, calling all who are concerned about the erosion of identity generating Zemmour Eric Zemmour is a broadcaster influential writer who supports the revolt of 1968 led France to ruin Many twentysomethings today, M. Devecchio supports agree with Zemmour because they feel abandoned Born after the fall the Berlin Wall, they had b lossom in an open society, rainbow in a peaceful, picture post-historic Europe publishes captionMr Devecchio Figarovox, a website for a dice beats vigorous set up by the newspaper Le Figaro For this generation, the reality did not follow the script, M. Devecchio told the BBC What they have seen is unemployment, precarious jobs, and a sense of physical and cultural insecurity in areas where radical Islam is on the rise, he believes could help identity and wider zemmour generation Marine Le Pen win power at the moment appears unlikely Ms. Pen n has not the support of a major party, and should be beaten by an opponent in the second round, but it can draw comfort from the fact that the surveys have underestimated the support of other leaders populist high abstention levels could also help the instinct to rally around the one who goes against the FN is much lower today than in the past surveys suggest that half of the voters supporting Jean-Luc Mlenchon hard left candidate or abstain or back Ms. Pe n the second round against Emmanuel Macron if she lost the race, the failure could be temporary if victorious opponent fails to make a Identitarianism reform feeds pessimism are young and can countries patriots rebels time on their side .
The markets are looking beyond, pollsters bookmakers to steer French election.
presidential election LONDONWith France skin pending potential banana to markets, forecasting sites that rely neither on surveys of voters or real money paris become a tool of choice for financial and policy makers in search an edge After years of concern about the accuracy of opinion polls, investors have increasingly come to rely on the political paris ratings as a barometer uniform election results that affect billions but dollar securities in 2016 changed everything, as the bookies and pollsters misfired on the referendum in Britain to leave the European Union and the victory of the US presidential election of Donald Trump - but in part redeemed themselves in the Dutch election last month Some look at France could issue a similar shock months following chairs nce to the extreme right, anti-EU Marine Le Pen although the question has always been losing May runoff by about 20 percentage points and US markets forecast bookmakers set the odds of winning the Pen about 1 4 comparable to trading on a Trump victory on the eve of the US elections Thus, as French opinion polls consistently show a third or more of voters could still change their minds, how markets navigate these troubled waters IT S HOW tO THINK Offering another perspective are Hypermind, a company that allows bettors to wager on the outcome of geopolitical events using play money, and other forecasters crowd-US as -Based judgment Hypermind Inc., which selects amateur for his panel through a test, said some of his October 8 nearly 2,500 forecasters on the French election from France's system give myself to those who always correctly predict the results of a voice increasingly strong, while finally drop those that do not - and puts it at about 1 in 8 chance of a victory which the Pen did a good forecaster is no previous expertise in the field; it is not what you know that you try to predict, said co-founder Emile Servan-Schreiber Hypermind, who has a background in cognitive psychology is the way you think He declined to identify any of its customers, but said they included hedge funds, banks and government agencies that can be up to record the track Hypermind his research shows that in the two months before the event, he attributed the best chance of Brexit and Trump eight-based statistics and forecasters based crowd, including American market forecast PredictIt British paris site Betfair and website fivethirtyeight in the search after the victory of Trump, the Washington post put Hypermind and open judgment - Inc. a trial project based on the same principle - that the most accurate forecasters Hypermind were born from research funded by the government agency activity Intelligence Advanced Research Projects IARPA, a US set up in 2006 to develop new methods of work of the secret services in the post-September 11 era Between 2011 and 2015, IARPA held a competition to predict the results of about 500 geopolitical events the winning group was good judgment GJP project, which used a methodology similar to Hypermind to produce the collective wisdom of the crowd Hypermind forecast was one of two commercial spin-offs by GJP participants the other is good judgment Inc. FRENCH CONNECTION once chosen, forecasters Hypermind receive 100,000 play money to bet with units they predict more accurately, the more they accumulate, but if they lose, they fall to the panel, which happens about 1 to 10 Hypermind is UK-registered, but was set up by two French His site is in French and English, which has helped attract Numb Forecasters Hypermind them in France does not ask the nationality of the candidates of the panel, but since most of them are based in France, says Servan-Schreiber forecast Hypermind is more representative of French voting more you are removed from French terri ry, the more you see Le Pen as a strong possibility, he said British bookmaker Ladbrokes said some of the people who bet on Trump and Brexit - and reaped the rewards - try their luck again with Le Pen, despite strong advance enjoyed by the centrist candidate Emmanuel Macron is skew odds bookmakers in favor There is also a lack of understanding of how the voting system in two rounds of France is working, and the reluctance of bookies to let off pocket Wednesday Ladbrokes online odds of winning the Pen were 3-1, reflecting about 25 percent chance likely Pen surestimen t his chances of winning, said the head of the political gamble, Matthew Shaddick enterprise If people were actually voting and really understood the system were allowed to participate in these markets paris, I suspect that his likely wouldn t be quite as favorable in France, the bet is limited to sports and horse racing as he could have done better than others and Brexit or Trump Hypermind gave at least 50 percent probability of each outcome But Servan-Schreiber, assign 1-3 odds on an event that occurs is no mistaking it reflects rather than one in three times, he materializes by Jemima Kelly reports; editing by John Stonestreet.
showman far left shaken the French presidential election.

By Adrian Croft CHATEAUROUX, France CHATEAUROUX, FranceThe winner of the debate of the presidential election in France this week was a fast-talking, maverick leftist whose policy would be as much a shock to the financial markets such as the most important leader Jean extreme right -Luke Mélenchon, a former Trotskyist who would bring France to NATO and perhaps the EU also is climbing faster in the polls with just over two weeks to go before the first round of a very close election in a pressure survey after the four-hour debate Tuesday night, viewers found Mélenchon, 65, the most compelling of the 11 candidates, outshining frontrunners Emmanuel Macron, an independent centrist far right leader Marine Le Pen, and mainstream conservative Francois Fillon Mélenchon skirmished with Pen on religion and called for sovereign debt the troubled eurozone to be actually written off to allow massive new investment to stimulate growth debt won t be paid in France, Sp ain, Portugal and Greece The European Central Bank must buy back all the debt that our States may find a way to breathe again, he said Mélenchon, party founder France scorned, split the left vote and turned socialist losers after five years of unpopular regime by the Socialist President Francois Hollande at the World poll Cevipof released Tuesday put support Mélenchon at 15 percent, up 3 by 5 points from mid-March, it is still far behind the Pen and Macron, who both have about a quarter of the vote, according to the survey, and are favorites to go until May 7 runoff But he breathes in the neck early Frontrunner Fillon, 17 5 percent, and long before the Socialist candidate Benoit Hamon, 10 percent It is the second race of Mélenchon for president, he finished fourth with 11 percent of the vote in 2012 Kitted in a revolutionary style, Mao high lapelled jacket and super-fast delivery sprinkled with quotes from Karl Marx and 19 F rench writer Victor Hugo, Mélenchon is the bane of the party leaders established at a rally weekend in Chateauroux, he said, a chair, a table, a bench had more chance of winning than does Le Pen fellow winger left, Hamon has not known a better prayer Hamon disdaining to unite behind him, Mélenchon said he had no intention of harnessing its campaign to a hearse EU DOUBT Mélenchon can get another elevator if support erodes Hamon Hamon still only half of the supporters are certain to vote for him - the lowest score of the certainty of a leading candidate, according CEVIPOF I don not think there would be such a rate partici pation said Philippe Hérault, 57, surveying thousands of MELENCHON supporters cheering at the rally in Chateauroux in central France is a sign that people want change, want something different inspector retired agricultural Roger Barralis, 72, speaking after another campaign event in Paris, said he admired Mélenchon of deep thinking and oratorical powers ostly m But it is his intelligence, his ability to speak to everyone Although Mélenchon, supported by the Communist Party french, is at the other end of the political spectrum to Le Pen, he advocates policies similar to hers in parts of Europe, his plan is to negotiate an EU reform along democratic, social lines and environmental in an echo of the process that led to the British vote to leave the EU last June, Mélenchon would place the results of the negotiations to a referent um on whether to stay or leave the EU if the trading option fails, it would suspend the contributions of France to the EU budget and impose border controls on the movement of capital and goods that he calls the United States the most dangerous military power in the world and withdraw NATO France, impose a 90 percent tax on high salaries and rewrite the constitution of France There are important differences too Mélenchon, who left the Socialist Party in 2008, and the Pen in the debate, Mélenchon mocked the Nat the proposal of chief ional before reforming the Constitution to protect the Catholic traditions such as nativity scenes Sixty percent of French people no religion, so give us a break with religion, he said Editing by Richard Balmforth and Mark Heinrich.
The EU takes center stage in French presidential debate Chaotic.
If Relaispour OUR NEWSLETTER The 11 people standing for the French Presidency took part in the epic debate, including less well-known candidates polling just over one percent of the Marine National Front leader Le Pen was able to paint as a moderate against the words of its smaller rivals, said Franois Asselineau, president of the obscure popular of the Republican Union, its position was less brutal than its unilateral withdrawal from EU policy M. Asselineau responded by accusing Ms. Le Pen did not really wanting Frexit, which she said the french will decide the only candidate to support with passion EU was independent Emmanuel Macron, the main rival of Ms Le Pen for president, who accused him of wanting to economic warfare Qu 'is what you offer, Ms. Le Pen, is a reduction in French peoples purchasing power, because for investors and workers, out of the euro will be decreased purchasing power, he said the leader of the National Front accused Mr Macron pre tends to be something new when you talk like old fossils that are at least 50 years old French dailyLe Figarocalled debate a cacophony that 11 candidates shouted and interrupted another four hours the newspaper things quickly turned to confusion that the candidates debate without consistency, with different candidates pretend to ally with others and then oppose them later Broadcaster France 24 also called the most surreal informative debate and criticized the decision to allow all 11 candidates in the competition debate is open on BFM TV and Cnews networks, while laudable in principle, was absurd indeed with both the online and the best candidates, many of whom were openly lukewarm to challenge one third release on April 20 might be wise to stay away.
France election worker in a car factory and presidential candidate Philippe Poutou steals Limelight in the electoral debate.
Philippe Poutou, a car factory worker in a baggy jumper, stole the show at France's heated electoral debate Tuesday night Mr Poutou is a candidate of the New Anti-Capitalist Party far left, who was on stage with 10 other candidates only three weeks in advance of the first survey Mr. Poutou, 50, who took only five weeks off from his job at the Ford plant in Blanquefort, in the southwest of the country's presidential election, has created sparks with his fighting rhetoric for the working classes and jabs at the front -runners entangled in corruption scandals with the support of half a percent in an Ifop poll, he has virtually no chance of winning the presidency during the two-round election on April 23 and May 7, however, with a rough freshness and childish smile, he accused Republican candidate Francois Fillon, 63, and the National Front candidate Marine Le Pen, 48, of defiling r the moral character of both politics are involved in corruption - and both deny any wrongdoing social media rampaged on Wednesday with biting attacks Mr. Poutou - framing average Joe like speaking truth to power Mrs. Le Pen, who claimed to be politically persecuted, said she is protected by parliamentary immunity as a member of the European Parliament there is no immunity for workers, Mr. M. Fillon responded Poutou gave preliminary charges for allegedly giving his wife and two children jobs funded by government that never I have not made a mistake, I'm still here and no one intimidate me Mr. Poutou retorted Since January, it's just been a great campaign more we dig, the more corruption there is, the more cheating there unionist who coldly refused to put on the collective picture of the candidates before the debate was basking in the unexpected hours I think there is a real disconnect between politicians and the public, Mr. Poutou told a political rally in the Paris suburb of Montreuil online publishers.
factory worker creating sparks French election debate.

An automobile factory worker in a baggy sweater Ford stole the show when heated France Tuesday Philippe Poutou electoral debate is a candidate of the New Anti-Capitalist Party far left, who was on stage with 10 other candidates just three weeks before the first poll Mr. Poutou, 50, who took only five weeks off from his job at the Ford plant in Blanquefort, in the southwest of the country's presidential election, has created sparks with his fighting rhetoric for working classes and jabs to the front runners embroiled in corruption scandals with the support of half a percent in an Ifop poll, he has virtually no chance of winning the presidency in the two-round election on April 23 and May 7, however, with a rough freshness and childish smile, he accused the Republican candidate Francois Fillon, 63, and the National Front candidate Marine Le Pen, 48, from soiling the coach actère morale of both politics are involved in corruption - and both deny any wrongdoing social media were unleashed on nesday sea with biting attacks Mr. Poutou - framing as speaking truth to power average Joe Ms Le Pen, who claimed to be politically persecuted, she says is protected by parliamentary immunity as a member of the European Parliament there is no immunity for workers, Mr. Poutou retaliated M. Fillon was given preliminary charges for allegedly giving his wife and two children jobs funded by government that never I have not made a mistake, I'm still here and no one intimidate me Mr. Poutou retorted Since January, it is has been a great campaign more we dig, the more corruption there is, the more cheating there unionist who coldly refused to put on the collective picture of the candidates before the debate was Aureol é unexpectedly in the hours because I think there is a real disconnect between politicians and the public, Mr. Poutou said at a political rally in the Paris suburb of Montreuil AP.
How Wall Trump and Hitler met in the French political debate.
LafargeHolcim Ltd biggest cement maker, was in the crosshairs of two candidates for the presidency of France in the debate Tuesday the world, showing how the resurgence of populism behind businesses in the political arena Mélenchon, Communist-backed candidate which is being run fourth in opinion polls, attacked the Jona, Switzerland-based company to pay the Islamic state to keep a plant open in Syria in the middle of a civil war Nathalie Arthaud of workers Party left said LafargeHolcim is an example of what's wrong with capitalism debate is the second time in a week that the company resulting from the merger in 2015 of France's Lafarge SA and Holcim Ltd. Switzerland has been targeted by politicians Paris City Council voted on March 28 to stop working with the cement manufacturer because of Syria payments and also because of its willingness to provide materials for the wall that the US president Donald Trump plans to build along the accomplices Mexican border should be punishe of said Mélenchon, I find it very strange that the case of Lafarge, a global cement producer acknowledges having paid is continue to produce its damned cement, hasn t been mentioned well, this company should be seized by the state, we must make a example of those who conspire with the enemy payments unacceptable LafargeHolcim said last month that an internal investigation shows that Lafarge has paid money to armed groups to maintain a plant operating in war-torn Syria, measures the company were unacceptable and against the conduct of fund code have been given to third parties who then took arrangements with a number of groups, including sanctioned parties, he said Islamic State fighters took the factory in S eptember 2014, we shared a limited number of preliminary findings and conclusions that involve facts that are clearly not in line with who we are as a society today, LafargeHolcim said in a statement sent by e-mail response to questions, declining to comment directly on the debate at this point, it would be unwise to comment on the specific results of the internal investigation until it is completed in the coming weeks voting Paris doesn t affect businesses construction that have contracts with the board it applies only to direct partnerships of the city with LafargeHolcim Paris to end a longstanding arrangement to take the sand of the company to the artificial beaches along the Seine, the company had supplied free the city had already decided that he would replace the sand with grass and plants this year, but has agreed ed to flee the cement manufacturer anyway Looming Election debate Tuesday included all 11 candidates who are running in the first round of the election, held on April 23 If no candidate wins a majority, the two players face off in the runoff on May 7, Marine Le Pen of the anti-euro, anti-immigrant National front led the first round, but polls show lost in the runoff to Emmanuel Macron independent or a Franco center-right candidate Fillon Arthaud, who had the support of 0 5 percent of likely voters in the latest poll Ifop, proposed to make it illegal for companies to fire workers She said the proposal Mélenchon to adopt a new French constitution wouldn t be enough, given the LafargeHolcim of actions as the most important business stories of the day Obtener newsletter that otidien Bloomberg He built the Atlantic Wall under Pétain and Hitler, she said, referring to the defenses built by Nazi Germany along the coast of continental Europe during the second world war now we have all learned, it is doing business with iS, and now he wants to build a wall between the US and Mexico, it is clear that these large groups won t be stopped by regime change or a new constitution says Arthaud The only thing that matters to them is their money, their dividends, their rapacity, and i want to tell workers that their lives, our lives depend on these people, she added.
French electoral debate Macron walking on like Le Pen loses.
The last chapter of the seemingly endless drama that is the French presidential campaign even more fireworks Tuesday as candidates competed on stage in the last televised debate for the first time in the history of France, the 11 presidential candidates were included in a production that lasted four hours before the first round of voting on April 23 but that seems ready to enter the Lyse palace and candidates can say goodbye to their hopes of becoming President Here's what you missed the winners it was another good night for Jean-Luc Mlenchon, the candidate of the extreme left, which gained popularity this format suits his combative and spontaneous style, allowing him to outflank his opponents it shone through, engage with the public, score points and managing to raise laughter, he was in good company, with four of the 11 candidates from the hard left But as in the last debate, it was always the assistance of Emmanuel Macron lose It's looking more and mor e likely to do so by the second round of voting on May 7 and the extreme right leader National Front Marine Le Pen again, the centrist candidate emerged relatively unscathed, the fight against his corner and landing blows on metaphorical Le Pen There was also success for small candidates, especially Philippe Poutou, the radical left who describes himself as a worker has a casual look - he rejected the traditional debate of wear jacket and tie - he took the fight to the Pen and the candidate Francois Fillon embattled Republic - both of which are the subject of judicial investigations Poutou won praise in the French press for his performance - although it off any chance of winning the elections, the losers it was a night to forget for the natio nal leader forehead Pen, who was much quieter this time maybe the fact that she was surrounded by so many enemies, it is difficult for it to make progress while being repeatedly attacked the problem Pen is that it is vulnerable, she came into the debate under surveillance after members of his staff have been accused by officials of being paid for non-existent jobs in the European Parliament, she first admitted that they had been paid without working, according to the office OLAF anti-fraud provisions but she later denied having said then there was his fractious relationship with Europe, which was exacerbated when European lawmakers voted to cancel his immunity Parliament on a case involving violent images she posted on Twitter an investigation was opened by a French law that prohibits the dissemination of violent images after Pen tweeted images e murders committed by ISIS militants in December 2015 the attempted Pen to convince voters that his party has changed was hit last month when one of his advisers was suspended on allegations of denial of Holocaust after he was caught on camera playing the systematic murder of six million Jews that the scandal has also allowed Macron to land one of the lines of th e night, accusing him not to drag his party away from the racist rhetoric that was often used under the guidance of his father, Jean-Marie Le Pen Le Pen, founder of the National Front, was expelled from the party in 2015 after Holocaust deniers Macron comments entered on the latest incident, telling him repeat the lies that have been heard in your father's mouth Pen has also drawn criticism from his rivals for saying that France had become a university for dj ihadistes - a statement that infuriated opponents left What made him make viewers for the debate of the drama, there is a feeling that little has been done to help undecided voters make up their minds format meant each candidate had just over 15 minutes to speak, which makes it difficult for them to really their teeth into the main issues Many people CNN spoke to feel more frustrated than convinced came into effect, the recurring phrase heard viewers following the debate was is really in the shit - what is politely translated as we are really in a whole mess TM amp; 2017 Cable News Network, Inc. Time Warner Company All rights reserved.
French electoral debate Macron steps as Le Pen loses - Continuous News Western Missoula Montana.

By Melissa Bell and James Masters CNN CNN PARIS - The final chapter of the seemingly endless drama that is the French presidential campaign even more fireworks Tuesday as candidates competed on stage in the last televised debate for first time in the history of France, the 11 presidential candidates were included in a production that lasted four hours before the first round of voting on April 23 but that looks set to enter the palace and the Lyse candidates can say goodbye to their hopes of becoming president here's what you missed the winners it was another good night for Jean-Luc Mlenchon, the candidate of the extreme left, which gained popularity this format suits his style combative and spontaneous, enabling him to outflank his opponents, he reflected, engaging the public, score points and managing to raise laughter, he was in good company, with four of s 11 candidates from the hard left, but as in the last debate, it was always Emmanuel contest Macron lose It's looking more and more likely to make it through the second round of voting on 7 May, as well as extreme right National Front leader Marine Le Pen again, the centrist candidate emerged relatively unscathed, fighting his corner and landing blows on the metaphorical pen there was also success for small candidates, especially Philip poutou, the radical left who describes himself as a worker has a casual look - he rejected the traditional debate of wear jacket and tie - he took the fight to the Pen and the candidate Francois Fillon embattled Republic - which both are subject to criminal investigations Poutou won praise in the French press for his performance - although it next no chance of winning the election losers it was a night to forget for the leader of the National Front Marine Le Pen, who was much quieter this time maybe the fact that she was surrounded by so many enemies, it is difficult for her to make progress repeatedly attacked the problem for Le Pen is that it is vulnerable, she came into the debate under surveillance after his staff have been accused by officials of being paid for non-existent jobs in the European Parliament, she first admitted they had been paid out of work, according to the European anti-fraud office OLAF struggle But later she denied saying so, and then there's fractious relationship with Europe, which was exacerbated when European lawmakers voted to annul his parliamentary immunity in a case involving violent images she posted on Twitter an investigation was opened by a French law that prohibits the broadcast of violent pictures es, after the murders of Pen tweeted pictures committed by ISIS militants in December 2015, to convince voters that his party has changed the Pen was hit last month when one of his advisers was suspended allegations of Holocaust denial after being caught on camera playing the systematic murder of six million Jews that the scandal also led Macron to land one of the lines of the night, accusing him of not dragging his party away from the racist rhetoric that was often used under the guidance of his father, Jean-Marie Le Pen Le Pen, founder of the National Front, was expelled from the party in 2015 after Holocaust deniers comments Macron seized on the latest incident, saying you repeat the lies that were heard in the mouth of your father the Pen has also drawn criticism from his rivals for saying that France had become a e university for jihad - a statement that infuriated his opponents left What did the viewers make to the debate of the drama, there is a feeling that little has been done to help undecided voters make up their minds format meant each candidate had a little over 15 minutes to speak, which makes them difficult to really their teeth into the main issues Many people CNN spoke to feel more frustrated than convinced came into effect, the term recurring heard viewers following the debate we were really in the shit - what is politely translated as we are really in a whole mess TM amp; 2017 Cable News Network, Inc. Time Warner Company All rights reserved.
factory worker creating sparks French election debate.
From left, candidates for president of France Jean-Luc Mélenchon, Francois Fillon, Jean Lassalle, Nathalie Arthaud, Marine Le Pen, Benoit Hamon, Jacques Cheminade, Nicolas Dupont-Aignan, Emmanuel Macron and Francois Asselineau pose for a photo group before a televised debate on the private French television channels BFM TV and CNews, the Plaine-Saint-Denis, near Paris, France, Tuesday, April 4, 2017 10 candidates for president of France are preparing to face in a crucial debate Tuesday night, less than three weeks before the first round of the election Lionel Bonaventure Pool via AP photo less.
FACTBOX-Banks say a Le Pen victory would be bad for the European markets, but how.

LondonThe countdown for the next participants of the political events market keep a keen eye on - the French presidential election in two steps - started far-right Eurosceptic Marine Le Pen is one of the leading candidates if his likely opponent in the final phase of the race, centrist Emmanuel Macron, leads in the polls below is an overview of probabilities, that the strategists and bank economists attribute to various outcomes, and financial market scenarios associated with them French banks have not issued a forecast for the election or commented on its impact ITES likelihood of victory Pen 20 percent if Citi basic 40 percent probability is Francois Fillon win, while Macron has a chance according to the calculations of the market impact of the Pen of the bank winning Euro 35 percent drop initially, perhaps strong ement to sell bonds on the perception of devaluation scenarios, the OAT-Bund spread to 10 years to meet closer to 200 basis points of the French shares fall 5 to 10 percent at end J A 2017 Market Impact of Fillon victory OAT-Bund spreads to ten years down to 35-40 basis points Euro upward DEUTSCHE BANK Probability of Le Pen won 25 percent the market impact of a Le Pen victory in European equities fall about 15 percent the market impact of a gain Macron limited relief rally brought valuations already high probability of victory JPMORGAN Le Pen 25 percent the market impact of a Le Pen winning the french stocks to fall by double digits, the french bond spreads to widen 200-300 basis points, the euro dropped to 0 98 market impact of shares in the euro area to see Macron earn a return large flows investisseu rs world, amounting to at least 10 percent of current assets under management tHE FRENCH ASSET MANAGEMENT Probability of Pen earn relatively little impact on the market of a blue-chip index of the victory Pen France CAC 40 falling to 20 percent, the french rate peak of 3 percent, euro down 10 percent of euro shares could fall by 15 percent, and Italian assets would also be affected, with possible 20 percent decline Milan FTSE MIB MORGAN STANLEY Probability of a win Le Pen 15 percent the market impact of a Le Pen win double-digit losses in European equities and the euro, differences in OATS expand to about 120 points basic Italian government bonds have more downside with spreads widening to 300 basis points, the market impact of a Macron win the French banking stocks, including BNP Paribas and Société Générale to rally 15-20 percent UBS probability of a Le Pen won 40 percent of the market impact of a Le Pen victory Euro stocks fall to 35 percent, trade-weighted euro down 10 percent, high-yield European bonds down 17 percent market impact of an active eurozone earn Macron to enjoy substantial relief rally, euro jump 2 percent reporting by Helen Reid, editing by Pritha Sarkar.

• French presidential debate: # 39; Tonight, everything could change # 39;



Le Pen fate worse in the French election debate freeforall, just worse, French.