Thursday, December 14, 2017

USDA ERS

This Week @ USDA May 2



Although the United States produces about 8 percent of the global average 2006-2015 wheat, it continues to be one of the largest exporters of wheat in the world, however, he gave recently the dominant role in world exports wheat to the European Union, Canada and Russia.
Since the early 1960s, US wheat exports have fluctuated trend was on the rise until 1981 82 year of international wheat trade is from July to June, while exports reached a peak of over 48 million tonnes, but reversed, with a drop in exports to less than 23 million tonnes in 2002, 03 the US share of world wheat exports has fluctuated from a high of 50 percent in 1973 to 74 percent in 1982 30 -40 83-1995 96, and between 20 to 30 percent within the next decade over the past decade, the US wheat exports exceeded 30 million tonnes MT three times, and while trade World wheat is growing, the US share of world wheat exports is lower now move a trend about 15 percent.
Greater flexibility in planting agricultural legislation in the United States and low returns compared to competing crops has led to a reduction in US wheat area, which limits the export potential Another cause of US exports declined in recent years is the appreciation of the US dollar vis-à-vis other major world currencies higher value of the dollar has increased the price of US wheat compared to that produced by other countries , reducing exports from the United States and the stimulation of exports by other major wheat producers.
US imports of wheat grains, mainly from Canada, are small 2-3 million tonnes, but increased less than 0 1 million tonnes in the 1970s to an average of 2 to 5 million tonnes in the last 10 years, imports of wheat products consist primarily of Canadian pasta and noodles, the European Union and Asia.


Historical data on imports and exports U is available from the USDA Foreign Agricultural Service FAS system in the agricultural world trade GATS.
A long-term perspective on the forecasts of US wheat exports is available in the chapter Market Outlook pages provide further information on issues of supply and demand for wheat behind projections USDA agricultural base, which provides 10-year projections for US and world agricultural sectors for certain products.
The United States is a major wheat exporters in the world since 2000, on average, the United States, the EU, Canada, Australia, Argentina and the former Soviet Union, including the three major wheat exporters Russia, Ukraine and Kazakhstan account for about 90 percent of global wheat exports in the past, these exporters accounted for 95 percent of world exports of wheat or more, but the share of small exporters see the others on the table continues below grow.
The diversity of exporting countries provides significant stability in world wheat trade and prices Most of the world's wheat production is grown as a winter wheat in the northern hemisphere, but Canada, Kazakhstan, Russia and United States production of spring wheat, which is planted much later again, in the southern hemisphere, Australia and Argentina plant their winter wheat after spring wheat in the northern hemisphere with wheat planted and harvested at different times, countries can react quickly to changing market conditions.
population growth in various regions of the world combined development with high economic growth have increased the demand for food and feed wheat after 2007 08 the world wheat trade grew, and by 2015 16 rose more than 40 percent, or nearly 50 million tons, driven by growing demand for wheat mainly by developing countries.



Wheat is a staple food in many low- and middle-income, despite a slight decrease per capita global consumption, population growth, especially in developing countries, was a factor significant behind the increase in global demand for wheat most of these countries have limited ability to increase wheat production, increasing global demand for wheat imports.
Increasing amounts of grain are needed to meet the demand for food and feed wheat to the countries of sub-Saharan Africa Ethiopia, Kenya, Nigeria, South Africa and Sudan, Egypt, North Africa, Algeria and Morocco, Middle East Iran, Jordan, Lebanon, Saudi Arabia and Syria, South Asia Afghanistan, Bangladesh and Pakistan, Southeast Asia Indonesia, the Philippines and Vietnam, East Asia China, Japan and Korea, and South America Brazil and Mexico.
The biggest growth markets for wheat include North Africa Egypt, Algeria and Morocco and sub-Saharan Ethiopia, Kenya, Nigeria, South Africa and Sudan and the Middle East The Iran, Jordan, Lebanon, Saudi Arabia and Syria, as well as South Asia -Is Indonesia, Philippines and Vietnam the increase in imports in Africa are driven by population growth, while revenue growth in Asia encouraging higher feed wheat and the substitution of wheat for traditional rice imports and stimulate usage.
Egypt remains the country WORLD'S imports of Indonesia wheat importers, which import more wheat growth in Asia are catching up and it became the world's second largest wheat importing country.



For more details on the countries of these regions, see the regions used for the production of FAS, supply and distribution PS database D.
While a handful of nations dominate exports of wheat, there are many wheat importing countries, however, most of the wheat is imported by developing countries with a limited production potential.
The data on world production wheat, supply and distribution PS D are available from FAS to over 200 countries from 1960 More detailed information trade commodity is available in the data and outlook report SAA on trade and grains World Markets and trade FAS trade data of the current global wheat are available in the global agricultural supply and demand estimates WASDE.







USDA ERS, USDA, in millions of tonnes, world wheat exports, percent of global wheat.





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